Research
Coups d'etat
Peer reviewed publications
- “Power Sharing and Coups d’état in Post-Conflict Settings: Evidence from Burundi and Guinea-Bissau.” Armed Forces and Society, OnlineFirst 2022, doi.org/10.1177/0095327X221108370.
- How to Prevent Coups d’état: Counterbalancing and Regime Survival. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2020.
- “Counterbalancing and Coups d’état.” In William R. Thompson and Hicham Bou Nassif, eds., The Oxford Encyclopedia of the Military in Politics. New York: Oxford University Press, online 2020 | in print 2022.
- "Will There Be Blood? The Determinants of Violence During Coups d’état." Journal of Peace Research 56, no. 6 (2019): 797-811. Accepted version (free access). Replication files. Online appendix.
- "Preventing Coups d’état: How Counterbalancing Works." Journal of Conflict Resolution 6, no. 2 (2018): 1433-1458. Accepted version (free access). Replication files. Online appendix. Podcast discussion about the article with JCR editor Paul Huth.
Other publications
- "How This Wave of African Coups Differs From Previous Ones." Washington Post, The Monkey Cage, February 25, 2022. Co-authored with Maggie Dwyer.
- “Coups, Protests, and Violence: What to Expect in Bolivia.” Political Violence at a Glance, November 25, 2019.
- “Why Does the United States Still Believe the Myth of the 'Good Coup'?” Washington Post, Outlook, November 13, 2019.
- “Trump Wants Venezuela's Military to Remove its President. But Maduro Has Made that Difficult.” Washington Post, The Monkey Cage, May 2, 2019.
- “Coup-Proofing for Dummies: The Benefits of Following the Maliki Playbook.” Foreign Affairs, Snapshot, July 27, 2014.
Police & security forces
Peer reviewed publications
- “Policing Insurgency: Are More Militarized Police More Effective?,” Small Wars & Insurgencies 33, no. 4-5, Special Issue on Global Counterinsurgency and the Police-Military Continuum (2022): 742-766. Accepted version (free access). Online appendix & replication files.
- “Militarized Policing in the Middle East and North Africa,” The Journal of the Middle East and Africa 13, no. 1 (2022): 93-110. Co-authored with Zachary Karabatak. Accepted version (free access). Online appendix & replication files.
- "Mapping Coercive Institutions: A New Data Set of State Security Forces, 1960-2010." Journal of Peace Research 58, no. 2 (2021): 315-325. Accepted version (free access). Replication files. Online appendix.
Other publications
- “Militarized Policing in the Trump Era and Beyond,” H-Diplo | ISSF, Policy Series 2021: America and the World—The Effects of the Trump Presidency, Essay No. 61 , 2022.
- “Police Militarization and its Political Consequences.” CP: Newsletter of the Comparative Politics Organized Section of the American Political Science Association, Volume XXXI, Issue 1 (Spring): 103-111, 2021.
- “International Trends in Militarized Policing: New Data and Puzzles.” Political Violence at a Glance, July 23, 2020.
Democratic backsliding in the U.S.
Peer reviewed publications
- "Forum: A Coup at the Capitol? Conceptualizing Coups and Other Anti-Democratic Actions," International Studies Review 24, no. 1 (2022) . Co-authored with Jonathan Powell, Salah Ben Hammou, Amy Erica Smith, Lucas Borba, Drew Holland Kinney, and Mwita Chacha. Accepted version (free access).
Other publications
- "18 Steps to a Democratic Breakdown." Washington Post, Outlook, December 10 | printed in the Sunday Outlook section, December 12, 2021. Co-authored with Risa Brooks. Illustrated by Hanna Barczyk.
- "No, Trump is Not Attempting a 'Coup.' Here's Why the Distinction Matters.” Washington Post, PostEverything/The Monkey Cage, November 11 | printed in Outlook, B2, November 15, 2020.
Book reviews and misc. other publications
Review of Policing for Peace: Institutions, Expectations, and Security in Divided Societies, by Matthew Nanes. Perspectives on Politics 20(3): 1132 - 1133
- H-Diplo | ISSF Article Review, “Review Essay 60: 'Explaining Divergent Trends in Coups and Mutinies: The End of the Cold War and the Role of Military Agency,'" by Maggie Dwyer and Oisín Tansey, October 28, 2021.
- “Covert Operations Fail More Often than Not, So Why Do Leaders Order Them?” Review of In the Shadow of International Law: Secrecy and Regime Change in the Postwar World by Michael Poznansky, Modern War Institute, United States Military Academy at West Point, September 30, 2021.
- "How Can We Vaccinate Against Viral Political Science?" Duck of Minerva Blog, Political Science Lab Leaks: A Symposium, August 31, 2021.
- “Do Democracies Need to Worry About Coups?" Cornell University Press Blog, December 4, 2020.
- “Subcontracting War on the Subcontinent.” Review of Gambling with Violence: State Outsourcing of War in Pakistan and India, by Yelena Biberman. Modern War Institute, July 24, 2020.
- “Beyond Words: U.S. Policy and the Responsibility to Protect,” in The Responsibility to Protect: The Global Moral Compact for the 21st Century, Richard Cooper and Juliette Voinov Kohler, eds. New York, NY: Palgrave Macmillan (co-authored with Lee Feinstein), 2009.
Work in progress
“State-Militia Relations and Human Rights Violations” (book chapter, Civic Vice, Civic Virtue: Militias and Violence Against Civilians, edited by Paul Johnson and Will Wittels, under contract with Routledge Press)
"Did Covid-19 Change Armed Group Governance? Evidence from a Survey of Local Security Authorities in Colombia" (under review, with Michael Weintraub)
"Teaching Undergraduates Research Methods: A Methods Lab-Based Approach" (under review, with Heather Sullivan)
"Of Triggers and Tripwires: Which Antecedent Conditions Promote Support for Democratic Backsliding?" (research in progress, with Calvert Jones)
"Armed Group Governance and Legitimacy Under Competition: Evidence From Colombia" (research in progress, NSF Award #1558488, with Michael Weintraub and Livia Schubiger)
“Attitudes Toward Protests and State Repression: The Role of Citizenship Norms” (research in progress, with Gabriella Levy and Livia Schubiger)
“Towards a New Classification of State Security Forces” (research in progress with Risa Brooks)
"Building Historically-Oriented Datasets: A Practical Guide" (research in progress with Kristen Harkness and Jun Koga Sudduth)
